Em 2005, o Fed de St Louis publicou o seguinte gráfico, num trabalho sobre crises bancárias:
E adicionou (grifo meu):
The fiscal costs of restructuring may seem extremely large at first, but they often pale in comparison to the long-term effects of systemic banking crises. The resources committed to resolving a crisis are diverted from other productive uses, economic reforms are delayed, and stabilization programs are abandoned. The economy suffers from higher interest rates, lower growth, and higher unemployment for a protracted period. Because nearly every citizen is affected by the declining living standards brought on by large banking crises, the public should understand the factors that weaken a banking system and make it susceptible to systemic crises.
A tabela abaixo é de um trabalho de 2010, do FMI:
Lembrando que, mesmo antes de resolver o problema dos bancos, os tesouros nacionais partem de níveis de dívida bem pouco confortáveis, para ser generoso com o adjetivo.Cada vez mais parece clara a escolha entre ligar a impressora ou
2 comentários:
É MENOS DE 1% DO PIB
Verdade, erro grosseiro... vou arrumar, obrigado.
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